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<< June 2005  | July 2005 |  August 2005 >>
The double that never was

Its not everyday I get the winner of the July - and at 30/1 - although I got 50/1 initially - fantastic odds, its rarer still to have tipped it here in my blog as you will see below from my Sabina update.  So Dunford won and suddenly a small R300 double I took with Sabina stood to pay out R100 000 if Sabina won 100 minutes later.

The jockey was told to ride her close to the action.  He rode her at the back of the field over a short distance on a course with a short straight.  She flew late, snatched 4th place but I will spend the rest of my life wondering what would have happened if he had followed instructions - or even logic.  I believe she would have won, but that my friends, is racing.

And now that Dunford has won, as I thought he would, because of his incredible fast finish how many will consider how unlucky Sabina was to be excluded from the July field - she did after all reverse 8.5 lengths of form with Dunford in their last meeting, the official July warm up race - where she beat him.  Another fact that will be forgotten very quickly by most, but not by me.

Posted by Michael de Broglio on Sunday 03-Jul-05   |  Permalink   |  0 Comments  Comments
Terrorists strike London

Frightening to see that a day after the shock of winning against all odds (the British bookies had Paris as 3/10 favourites) the 2012 Olympics, London today has terrorist attacks.

Its shocking, its terrible, but you know what?  37 people dead is just slightly above what we lose every single day on our roads.  Its a pity the media don't cover that story every single day - the tragedy of broken families, ruined lives.  Its no different to what we are seeing unfold on tubes and a bus in London today.

Posted by Michael de Broglio on Thursday 07-Jul-05   |  Permalink   |  0 Comments  Comments
ADSL at last
Some 11 weeks after I applied for ADSL at home, and after my 3G card packed in last week (only 3 months old) Telkom finally pitched up at my house today, to at last install ADSL.  The guys tell me they work Saturdays and Sundays so one wonders what the problem is - but it hardly makes us competitve in world standrads if we are going to roll out Internet connections this slowly!
Posted by Michael de Broglio on Saturday 16-Jul-05   |  Permalink   |  0 Comments  Comments
RAF update
In recent weeks, we have had a lot of calls to our offices enquiring about either our publicity campaign, or the latest developments with the RAF legislation.  The important date right now, is 7 August, when the Parliamentary portfolio committee will again be meeting to consider the legislation.  But all accounts, and rumours we are hearing, the legislation before the committee, is likely to be approved.  After that, it's a relatively short process before this is before the National Assembly and passed into law.  It very well into the now up to you, and to each and every one of us, to give as much attention to the impending legislation and publicising it, in the hope, that we will be able to head off the drastic consequences that the legislation will have for the man in the street, who may soon literally have to remain in the street!  The fact of the matter, is this legislation is not in the entrance of the general public and one wonders how many of them are aware, the example, what the consequences will be when you are sued in your personal capacity for damages that the Road accident fund will not cover.  Whether the common law liability is excluded or not by the legislation seems to be an issue which changes, from one draft to the next, but we are assuming, that even if it finds its place in the legislation, that it will not be upheld by the Constitutional Court.  That being the case, all of us with insurance are going to end up paying much higher insurance premiums in due course, and those without, but with some assets, are going to be paying for all the symptoms of every entry currently considered, in the proposed legislation, to be minor.  Since that probably includes 90% of all claims currently been lodged against the Road accident fund, some younger drivers, some more elderly drivers and all of those with some income, but who for their own reasons choose not to pay for insurance, can look forward to making some huge payouts.

Posted by Michael de Broglio on Sunday 17-Jul-05   |  Permalink   |  0 Comments  Comments
Common law rights

I was asked two days or so ago to explain some of the propsed changes with the RAF legislation, and I gave a good example of what the whole issue about common law rights is about, so I'll repeat it here:

They will either allow you to then sue the other party for the balance of your claim, or for your whiplash when you cannot get it from the new Road Accident Fund, or they will remove from you, in law, your right to sue that party.  Removing the right is similar to telling you, the next time somebody smashes into your car from behind, that there is a new government system in place to cover you, and you cannot get your damages from the other party, but unfortunately in your case, the damages to your car do not qualify.  If they do remove your right to sue, attorneys will challenge that, and most likely succeed in the constitutional court with the result, that one way or another the man in the street will be paying money to the Road accident fund for coverage he does not receive, and still having to obtain additional coverage from his or her insurance company or face the very real possibility, if not insured, that he or she will have to pay out of his or her own pocket -- or more realistically, by selling assets such as one's house.

Posted by Michael de Broglio on Thursday 21-Jul-05   |  Permalink   |  0 Comments  Comments
Lance Armstrong

A day when we get our last chance ever to see Lance Armstrong, as he wins his seventh Tour de France, and a great victory over Australia yesterday mean this weekend has really been a great sporting one!

Interestingly enough, despite our win, our odds on Betfair have drifted to 9/2 to win the Tri Nations and we are 3rd favourites (or last).  We are 8/10 favourites to repeat our victory over Australia next week in Pretoria though. The All Blacks remain hot 6/10 favourites to win the whole tournament this year.

Posted by Michael de Broglio on Sunday 24-Jul-05   |  Permalink   |  0 Comments  Comments
Any takers? Guess that depends on if its money....

The publicists beginning to put the finishing touches to a campaign for the JAA, limited only unfortunately, by funds.  Hopefully it does show that we can get coverage when the approach is right.

Of course coverage has with it its own risks.  In our profession, put your name to something, if only at the end of the spear and you'll be attacked for sure - and wonder why you ever did it.  Later, many will wonder why nothing was done - and its probably just human nature I guess to rant and rave, but do nothing - and sadly, as I have learnt in my time, that is what most attorneys do.  Anyway, I am always happy to be proved wrong - so stand for election to the JAA and do something - or contribute to the fight that affects your profession most - whatever it is.

Posted by Michael de Broglio on Monday 25-Jul-05   |  Permalink   |  0 Comments  Comments
Leigh Matthews

I have to say that whatever the family went through, however terrible the crime, that the media coverage of the trial at the moment is ridiculous.  The Star are really going overboard with pictures of the "killers fiance" and day after day more details on a trial where Moodley pleaded guilty anyway.  One would imagine the family would have asked for the coverage to be reduced, but we face day afyer day, interviews with them on their emotions when really the only thing that emerges is disputes about whether she was killed at the scene or elsewhere.  Its almost an afterword that they reveal that tests show she was on anti-depressants at the time.

I just wish we could see some balance, some non-hysterical put us in fear all day of crime and Aids reporting.  The roads are terrible, they kill 30 people a day and injure another 100.  Think of what an impact the media could have on road safety if everyday they devoted coverage to the terrible ways people die in motor accidents, the lives and families that are ruined.  Its one of the biggest on-going tragedies in South Africa and there is almost no proper, in depth human angle reporting on the issue but for a week in April and three in December.

Posted by Michael de Broglio on Wednesday 27-Jul-05   |  Permalink   |  0 Comments  Comments
Sporting Post cover this week

I always update on the latest with Sabina when she is running, and since she has made the cover of this week's Sporting Post, I thought I would just repeat the update available on her site www.sabinapark.co.za :

Four weeks ago Sabina was not considered good enough to get into the final field for the July handicap.  Now, facing a top class field including two of the nominees for horse of the year, Sabina is been described as a certainty by some in the media.  If only, they had had a say in the field for the July!  Can she win?  Yes, of course, she has the class, she has a low weight and a good draw.  I can find reasons however, how most of the horses in the field can win, bar for Jamaica at these weights, and I have no doubt that Jamaica will finish closer to Sabina than the weights suggest.

Racing is a sport we all love and I personally put her chances at winning as one in five or, 4/1.  She is apparently working very well and obviously this distance is closer to her best and her last race.  I had a double of R100,000 to R300 running on Sabina and Dunford last time out, so you can imagine how shattered I was when Sabina was beaten after being way too far back for most of the race.  She caught more than seven lengths on Jamaica over the final 400m, and was caught between runners in the straight, looking for a run, and while she no longer has as devastating a finish as she had in her youth, she clearly is close to being back to her very best.  I fear a lot of horses in this race, the up-and-coming star of the three olds, Royal Approval, National Spirit and how can you rule out horses like Winter Solstice or Dunford?  The only time Sabina drew 1, she jumped slowly.  She never seems to win when she is touted as a winner and it terrified me that Sporting Post, which I love, made her the very best bet of the day, under the front cover headline of Walk in the Park!  Its a Grade 1, one I would love her to win and I'll be praying, but I know how many times I have traveled to Durban and she has not won yet in the province.  I wish it was 2000m or more and give me Turffontein anyday of the week!  I have always thought Clairwood to be the fairest track in the province but lets not forget how Dunford loves the course.  He carried 5,5kgs more than Sabina when they met here over 1450m in May and he came from behind her and cruised past her in a final 400m which was full 1 second faster than either Sabina or Zebra Crossing.  He could follow up with ease and 10/1 is extremely generous about his chances.  Yes, Sabina has improved tons since then, but I tipped Dunford to win the July because he is a top sort, so don't be surprised if he carries the weight easily.  Toreador is highly rated and Chamonix keeps winning.  I'll just pray!
Posted by Michael de Broglio on Thursday 28-Jul-05   |  Permalink   |  0 Comments  Comments
Media is best handled by media specialists
There has been a lot of positive reaction to the JAA media campaign relating to RAF matters.  Covered across all SABC radio stations in the news bulletins on Wednesday, it featured in The Citizen on Thursday, and on Jozi FM for another 10 minutes tonight.  More is planned.  the general reaction is - "What, I had no idea about that!"  Its amazing how dismal the professions efforts at securing publicity have been.  Its time we engage people who handle this field, to handle our affairs more often rather than grope around blindly in the dark.
Posted by Michael de Broglio on Thursday 28-Jul-05   |  Permalink   |  0 Comments  Comments

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