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Festive Occasion at the July (I hope)

A lot of attorneys know of my involvement in horse racing and today I had the usual flurry of calls for tips on tomorrows July Handicap.  Even my bank manager phoned me, because I tipped her the winner of the last two year's July's.  I explained to her as I did to the others that in 20 years I had tipped only 2 winners since the last 2 years, so with a record of 4 now out of 22, I would guess that the odds are pretty steeply against me getting it right 3 years in a row.

My horse, Festive Occasion did not make the final field, and will be running in a Grade 1 race (the highest level) at 6:35pm tomorrow - or 2 races after the July.  She is a bit of an outsider but apart from Sun Classique, it is a field of the very best fillies in South Africa and I hope she does well.  At 14/1 I can't expect a miracle.

Anyway, what do I like in the July?  If the favourite Kildonan, sees out the distance he will win by a mile.  If he does not, and I don't think he will, its open with a number of stars like Succesful Bidder, Royal Air Force and Ravishing in the running and one can't ignore a number of quality horses like Hunting Tower.  I am putting my money on a relative outsider - the only 3 year old filly in the race Sun Classique who will need a fast pace to feature.  Why?  Because she has beaten my filly 3 times this year by very narrow margins at equal weights and if we had made the July field (they chose eight 3 year old boys, but only one lady!) we would have been weighted to beat her by about 2 lengths - so I will be waiting for something to complain about!!

Posted by Michael de Broglio on Friday 06-Jul-07

Festive Occasion at the July (I hope)


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